kramerbenjamin
0xd360d338dd4be2043b5a34d18a1ba58d84c848e6
- Realised P&L
- $-108.41
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $42.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? · Yes | 0.836 | 1.000 | $23.11 | +$3.79 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.800 | $19.10 | +$4.06 |
| Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.74at 0.550Basket Zaragoza vs. Valencia
- +$3.50at 0.968Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$3.36at 0.969Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$2.46at 0.779Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11?
- +$2.01at 0.981Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:56 | Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m? | BUY | 0.8356745563 | $19.32 |
| 10-04 16:06 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.7699999892 | $8.58 |
| 09-28 01:47 | Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5699999951 | $22.04 |
| 01-31 14:08 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.03 |
| 01-30 16:42 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999424 | $3.78 |
| 01-30 14:07 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.87 |
| 01-30 13:14 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.87 |
| 01-30 12:45 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.43 |
| 12-30 10:01 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.33 |
| 12-30 08:35 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999904 | $25.14 |
| 12-29 22:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.82 |
| 12-29 21:31 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.46 |
| 10-30 19:43 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.78 |
| 10-30 17:56 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.83 |
| 09-29 16:36 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.94 |