gap18
0xd35e67214123d36590137c1b5b59c17dfc2b30a3
- Realised P&L
- $-646.48
- Volume
- $29.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,408
- Open portfolio
- $27.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,408
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.55at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$18.32at 0.670Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?
- +$16.91at 0.330Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
- +$15.99at 0.200Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$15.99at 0.200Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 00:47 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $34.69 |
| 07-11 13:35 | Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 07-11 13:27 | Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.70 |
| 07-11 13:26 | Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.062 | $9.24 |
| 07-11 07:06 | Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.39 |
| 07-11 07:06 | Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.088 | $0.88 |
| 07-11 07:00 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.705 | $14.10 |
| 06-26 04:37 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.493 | $2.46 |
| 06-26 01:40 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 06-26 01:40 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 06-26 01:40 | Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 06-24 06:41 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 06-24 01:55 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? | SELL | 0.434 | $21.70 |
| 06-24 00:54 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.69 |
| 06-23 21:39 | Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |