PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gap18

0xd35e67214123d36590137c1b5b59c17dfc2b30a3

Realised P&L
$-646.48
Volume
$29.6k
Markets traded
1,408
Open portfolio
$27.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,408
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.6300.645$12.90+$0.30
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · No0.4500.336$6.72$2.28
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.175$3.50$3.70
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3500.107$2.15$4.85
DAI depeg by December 31? · Yes0.1200.055$2.15$2.53
Will Adam Novotný be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$9.00
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$2.10
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00$2.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$2.31
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$2.41
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00$0.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$0.72
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00$1.09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$2.20
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 00:47Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?SELL0.94$34.69
07-11 13:35Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.4$8.00
07-11 13:27Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?SELL0.35$0.70
07-11 13:26Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?SELL0.062$9.24
07-11 07:06Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?SELL0.993$1.39
07-11 07:06Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.088$0.88
07-11 07:00Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.705$14.10
06-26 04:37Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?SELL0.493$2.46
06-26 01:40Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?SELL0.35$1.75
06-26 01:40SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?SELL0.34$6.80
06-26 01:40Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?SELL0.52$10.40
06-24 06:41Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?SELL0.16$3.20
06-24 01:55Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?SELL0.434$21.70
06-24 00:54Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?SELL0.29$0.69
06-23 21:39Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$6.40
Trader gap18 · PolyBot