PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

gap18

0xd35e67214123d36590137c1b5b59c17dfc2b30a3

Realised P&L
$-653.60
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
1,436
Open portfolio
$38.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,436
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NC State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · No0.9100.915$28.01+$0.15
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.170$3.40$3.80
Will edgeX reach $1.80 before 2027? · No0.8900.920$3.16+$0.10
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3500.102$2.03$4.97
DAI depeg by December 31? · Yes0.1200.051$2.01$2.67
Will "Ice Cream Man" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.50
Will Adam Novotný be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$9.00
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$2.10
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.5600.000$0.00$2.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.6500.000$0.00$2.31
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Down0.3800.000$0.00$2.41
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00$0.87
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$0.72
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00$1.09
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 01:21Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?SELL0.9144326241$20.63
08-26 23:28Over $2.25M committed to the Multipli public sale?SELL0.03$0.70
08-12 16:59Will Virginia have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?SELL0.88$26.94
08-12 15:14Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$0.20
08-12 14:29Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.03$0.69
08-09 09:00Will "Rigged" be in the headlines this week?BUY0.95$29.45
08-09 07:07Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 11?SELL0.68$15.64
08-08 18:51Will Dak Prescott attend the US Open Finals?SELL0.92$18.40
08-08 02:37Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?SELL0.93$18.60
08-08 01:57Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?SELL0.02$0.17
08-07 22:20Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 10?SELL0.01$0.20
08-07 17:09Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?SELL0.959$19.18
08-07 16:25Will Rodrygo finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.02$0.24
08-07 15:34Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?SELL0.0109$0.22
08-07 11:27Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week?SELL0.91$13.65