maxbolt
0xd35d9b211d9c9ed447c1ee4009e324552f9da62b
- Realised P&L
- $-117.38
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $49.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.15at 0.435Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$12.03at 0.497Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
- +$6.53at 0.467Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
- +$5.67at 0.457Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)
- +$5.18at 0.437Stuttgart Open: Quentin Halys vs Sho Shimabukuro
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:32 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.473 | $11.21 |
| 10-22 11:29 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | SELL | 0.28 | $7.43 |
| 10-18 15:22 | Will UKMTO publish fewer than 8 notices between October 19-October 25? | BUY | 0.5145865475 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 18:25 | Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 03:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 03:22 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 DE-AL House election by 25%-30%? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 19:43 | Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | BUY | 0.3769878617 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 18:54 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4219999905 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 14:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 04:54 | Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.15 | $0.78 |
| 06-14 04:54 | Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.66 | $1.37 |
| 06-14 03:29 | Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2599998921 | $1.35 |
| 06-14 03:26 | Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Türkiye? | BUY | 0.0599999469 | $1.04 |
| 06-14 03:25 | Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.2 | $6.84 |
| 06-14 03:25 | Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.05 |