dfddf44
0xd349a0932f9ddabea8693dbb233379e0d353d180
- Realised P&L
- $17.27
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bucks (-7.5) · Wizards | 0.800 | 0.790 | $4.42 | −$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 7? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.77at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 7?
- +$23.52at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on May 14?
- +$23.08at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?
- +$22.26at 0.996Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 1?
- +$0.42at 0.974Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 08:22 | Spread: Bucks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $4.47 |
| 10-16 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.39 |
| 10-12 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.989 | $6.57 |
| 10-08 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.73 |
| 10-06 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.969 | $6.71 |
| 09-26 02:25 | Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $5.48 |
| 09-01 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.7k |
| 09-01 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.5k |
| 07-01 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 06-26 16:21 | Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | BUY | 0.985 | $21.08 |
| 06-15 05:09 | Spread: Jordan (-2.5) | BUY | 0.995 | $8.96 |
| 06-11 00:41 | Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.968 | $6.30 |
| 06-03 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 4? | BUY | 0.973005559 | $15.75 |
| 05-28 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.62 |
| 05-19 11:30 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.9640658537 | $7.91 |