Marcusdf
0xd34362151b8a33041babf9720bec9b5071e44685
- Realised P&L
- $28.21
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $76.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 Rounds · Under | 0.650 | 1.000 | $33.00 | +$11.55 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? · No | 0.390 | 1.000 | $28.00 | +$17.08 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.585 | $15.79 | −$0.13 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff · Brandon Nakashima | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.52 |
| Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$459.58at 0.500Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$455.67at 0.500Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$178.72at 0.500Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$171.81at 0.500Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 23–30?
- +$17.43at 0.500Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:48 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.59 | $15.93 |
| 09-03 07:54 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.65 | $21.45 |
| 08-22 08:36 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.39 | $10.92 |
| 08-12 08:24 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.53 | $17.49 |
| 07-14 08:32 | Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 07-02 03:28 | Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BUY | 0.69 | $17.52 |
| 06-25 09:34 | Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.71 | $27.26 |
| 06-06 02:02 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | BUY | 0.78 | $16.69 |
| 04-23 08:27 | Will Solana dip to $10 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 04-14 12:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.9986361026 | $16.00 |
| 03-27 09:48 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 03-16 11:41 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.99 | $36.96 |
| 03-16 11:40 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 11:40 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.991 | $27.00 |
| 03-06 07:52 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.92 |