ryan777
0xd34200c68e66a89006a67af0823cbf89bedad1cf
- Realised P&L
- $-77.56
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.27at 0.720Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
- +$9.53at 0.351LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$5.73at 0.472LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$4.41at 0.681Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$3.69at 0.630Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 04:51 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.705 | $14.80 |
| 10-28 01:48 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $191.80 |
| 10-25 22:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 10-25 22:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3295 | $6.59 |
| 10-25 20:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.677 | $20.31 |
| 10-25 12:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 10-24 11:25 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.947 | $18.94 |
| 10-21 17:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.787 | $15.74 |
| 10-20 19:49 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.7 | $6.43 |
| 10-19 20:03 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $260.26 |
| 10-19 19:55 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.972 | $300.69 |
| 10-19 19:36 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.895 | $89.50 |
| 10-19 19:16 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.909 | $18.18 |
| 10-18 13:50 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.65 | $24.51 |
| 10-15 16:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.755 | $30.20 |