PolyBot

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Traders

ryan777

0xd34200c68e66a89006a67af0823cbf89bedad1cf

Realised P&L
$-77.56
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9350.980$1.3k+$59.16
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.8730.967$628.52+$61.20
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes0.6750.770$91.55+$11.27
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · No0.7020.652$79.79−$6.08
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · No0.8480.947$66.06+$6.89
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1460.095$64.90−$35.09
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.9110.975$24.49+$1.61
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6600.645$19.35−$0.45
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$192.04
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Falcons0.6800.000$0.00−$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 04:51Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.705$14.80
10-28 01:48Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.959$191.80
10-25 22:53Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.31$6.20
10-25 22:21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3295$6.59
10-25 20:41Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.677$20.31
10-25 12:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.79$15.80
10-24 11:25Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.947$18.94
10-21 17:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.787$15.74
10-20 19:49Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.7$6.43
10-19 20:03Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.972$260.26
10-19 19:55Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.972$300.69
10-19 19:36Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.895$89.50
10-19 19:16Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.909$18.18
10-18 13:50Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?BUY0.65$24.51
10-15 16:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.755$30.20