0xd341d14acc87d0d977e5c57c5dc029912324f215
- Realised P&L
- $-0.06
- Volume
- $860.00
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $67.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No | 0.928 | 0.971 | $15.54 | +$0.69 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.935 | $10.29 | +$4.79 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.964 | $9.63 | +$0.54 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.915 | $9.15 | +$0.45 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.975 | $8.77 | +$0.67 |
| Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.105 | $5.04 | −$3.76 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$0.53 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.213 | 0.134 | $2.95 | −$1.73 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.034 | $0.82 | −$0.86 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.043 | $0.55 | −$2.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.63at 0.330Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$1.15at 0.792Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.062U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
- +$0.57at 0.943Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.820U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 17:46 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.72 |
| 07-12 04:44 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.24 |
| 07-10 20:21 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 07-04 13:56 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 06-22 09:02 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.68 |
| 06-19 11:29 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-18 08:16 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.08 |
| 06-15 19:40 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.74 |
| 06-13 10:02 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.068 | $1.56 |
| 06-13 02:55 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.72 |
| 06-09 13:02 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.52 |
| 05-27 10:02 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.08 |
| 05-24 01:12 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.38 |
| 04-27 01:22 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.10 |
| 04-27 01:22 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |