0xd334EfDBcAB02799c711d14c036b8a12b2dfaD35-1773178545742
0xd334efdbcab02799c711d14c036b8a12b2dfad35
- Realised P&L
- $-464.98
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $43.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.619 | 0.615 | $24.85 | −$0.15 |
| Wizards vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.797 | 0.610 | $19.12 | −$5.88 |
| Avalanche vs. Jets · Avalanche | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Islanders vs. Sabres · Islanders | 0.353 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.75 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Kraken vs. Sabres · Kraken | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Capitals vs. Devils · Capitals | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide · Hofstra Pride | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens · Lightning | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.732 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Washington Nationals | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.61 |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats · Villanova Wildcats | 0.442 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings · Indiana Fever | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
| Senators vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.44at 0.570Stars vs. Penguins
- +$63.90at 0.439Stars vs. Avalanche
- +$46.98at 0.630Predators vs. Lightning
- +$43.01at 0.537Suns vs. Magic
- +$40.83at 0.442Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 13:37 | Kings vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.618740236 | $25.00 |
| 10-18 13:36 | Wizards vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.7975723365 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 14:12 | Jets vs. Steelers | SELL | 0.48 | $6.88 |
| 08-17 20:37 | Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire | SELL | 0.4652083333 | $8.93 |
| 08-17 20:33 | Jets vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.6099999854 | $8.75 |
| 08-17 19:45 | Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.6509389222 | $12.50 |
| 08-17 15:31 | Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.7 | $12.50 |
| 08-17 15:25 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.7 | $12.50 |
| 06-14 17:12 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1129999961 | $22.79 |
| 06-14 17:12 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | SELL | 0.62 | $9.34 |
| 06-14 17:11 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | SELL | 0.66 | $14.22 |
| 06-14 17:02 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1129999973 | $36.39 |
| 06-14 17:02 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.74 | $9.37 |
| 06-14 17:02 | Will England win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.75 | $9.38 |
| 06-14 17:01 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | SELL | 0.75 | $9.38 |