PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

nisnow

0xd318fcfb72347038439c3b828b4899abacc8a9b9

Realised P&L
$122.02
Volume
$72.5k
Markets traded
595
Open portfolio
$1.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded595
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026? · Yes0.3450.165$1.91$2.09
Will "People" be said 100+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 15? · No0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00$1.00
Fight to Go the Distance? · No0.7000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$0.50
UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card) · Nazim Sadykhov0.6200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next? · No0.5830.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev0.8200.000$0.00$30.00
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves · Milwaukee Brewers0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.0730.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? · Yes0.7790.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 22:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSELL0.98$3.16
08-06 22:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-06 22:38Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?SELL0.12$1.49
07-27 21:05Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.9879839365$380.00
07-14 15:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?BUY0.1019999143$1.00
07-14 15:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?BUY0.1659998722$1.00
07-14 15:17Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?SELL0.105$2.63
07-14 15:16Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?SELL0.132$4.65
07-14 15:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?BUY0.256$1.00
06-30 21:21Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSELL0.46$1.09
06-30 21:20Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.4199998236$1.00
06-30 11:27Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
06-30 11:27Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?BUY0.5429999365$1.00
06-30 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSELL0.51$1.18
06-30 11:25Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.429999828$1.00