nisnow
0xd318fcfb72347038439c3b828b4899abacc8a9b9
- Realised P&L
- $122.02
- Volume
- $72.5k
- Markets traded
- 595
- Open portfolio
- $1.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded595
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.68at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 30?
- +$18.06at 0.957Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$11.26at 0.979Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$9.09at 0.985Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$9.08at 0.988Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $3.16 |
| 08-06 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 22:38 | Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.49 |
| 07-27 21:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? | BUY | 0.9879839365 | $380.00 |
| 07-14 15:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 15:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.1659998722 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.105 | $2.63 |
| 07-14 15:16 | Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.132 | $4.65 |
| 07-14 15:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.256 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $1.09 |
| 06-30 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 11:27 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 11:27 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5429999365 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $1.18 |
| 06-30 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |