PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xEF5ceb6a31137E59E88caBFdf26368F973A47BAD-1777090256427

0xd311888b744cbc083a62c08df849690cd16561b4

Realised P&L
$-9.5k
Volume
$950.4k
Markets traded
381
Open portfolio
$1.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded381
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0220.003$1.77$14.18
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0200.001$0.17$6.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.4490.000$0.00$2.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.0170.000$0.00$21.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$7.54
Will a player representing Belgium be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.30
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.0300.000$0.00$4.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$13.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.1880.000$0.00$4.00
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.1200.000$0.00$2.33
France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 · Over0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 12.5 Total Corners · Over0.0400.000$0.00$3.00
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Over0.3250.000$0.00$15.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 23:00Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.02$3.76
08-30 22:59Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.018$1.13
08-30 22:59Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.0145086275$5.31
08-27 20:32Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.021$2.44
08-27 18:23Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.02$8.98
08-26 21:50Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.025$12.76
08-26 21:46Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.023$1.89
08-26 21:45Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.001$0.10
08-26 21:44Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.0010779679$28.13
08-11 14:05Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.0349712302$18.23
08-11 14:05Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.0347692308$4.52
08-11 14:01Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.017$0.85
08-11 14:01Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.0505965519$25.44
08-11 01:46Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.06$23.12
08-11 01:44Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.030935981$6.78