aaIrbet
0xd311118e8558159a3be9976b6621c8f0994f0316
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $64.0k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $735.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.080 | $656.41 | −$643.58 |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.076 | $78.99 | −$106.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.0kat 0.190Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 21:11 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $300.00 |
| 07-23 21:09 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1552698138 | $1000.00 |
| 07-23 21:01 | Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.1783100001 | $185.32 |
| 04-23 12:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $30.40 |
| 01-06 15:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.2k |