0xd305625231c84aaa2f84ac3ede20d1a0a9fc3417
- Realised P&L
- $3.65
- Volume
- $237.36
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $11.42
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.590 | 0.875 | $2.97 | +$0.97 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.255 | $2.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.875 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.805 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.415 | $1.66 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.227Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.349Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?
- +$1.92at 0.410Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.91at 0.490Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.522Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:35 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 06:55 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 11:19 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:41 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:12 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 13:27 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 13:14 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 21:48 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 12:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 22:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 14:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 06:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 09:43 | Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |