ignite303
0xd2fed51417d9606c6994e2efc1edb7c385293bee
- Realised P&L
- $-70.46
- Volume
- $27.9k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $3.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.328 | 0.110 | $5.15 | −$10.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.62at 0.013Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 29?
- +$79.29at 0.437Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 10?
- +$48.05at 0.208Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 4?
- +$41.42at 0.432Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on March 9?
- +$39.89at 0.249Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:34 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.47 | $5.50 |
| 08-05 09:14 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.31 |
| 08-05 09:01 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.51 | $3.88 |
| 08-04 23:01 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.29 |
| 08-04 19:31 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-04 19:31 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.06 |
| 08-03 22:07 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.42 | $5.11 |
| 08-03 18:06 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 18:06 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 08:00 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.62 |
| 07-31 19:36 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 07-31 19:36 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-31 19:15 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 14:13 | Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.05 |