0xd2f5cdcbad822426b1709478e76e2d4d1e7f5fdb
0xd2f5cdcbad822426b1709478e76e2d4d1e7f5fdb
- Realised P&L
- $-37.37
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $4.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.130 | $3.22 | −$6.78 |
| Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? · No | 0.492 | 0.283 | $0.89 | −$0.66 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$3.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.60at 0.646Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?
- +$5.57at 0.165Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$2.14at 0.752Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$2.04at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$1.79at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999782 | $4.81 |
| 09-24 15:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999981 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $4.81 |
| 09-24 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999593 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $5.63 |
| 09-24 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $0.97 |
| 09-24 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999451 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:07 | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | BUY | 0.4919999225 | $1.55 |
| 09-24 02:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $1.51 |
| 09-24 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:25 | Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.4040049169 | $10.00 |