PolyBot

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Traders

0xd2f26a2eb2fa5e71af86734fb7270afe49c42f05

0xd2f26a2eb2fa5e71af86734fb7270afe49c42f05

Realised P&L
$-99.73
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$137.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive? · No0.9771.000$16.80+$0.39
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.7421.000$13.96+$3.60
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2001.000$8.25+$6.60
Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.9461.000$6.83+$0.37
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? · No0.9081.000$6.46+$0.59
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No0.7221.000$6.04+$1.68
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.8890.965$5.96+$0.47
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.8401.000$5.95+$0.95
Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? · No0.8901.000$5.62+$0.62
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? · No0.9300.972$5.22+$0.23
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9300.966$5.18+$0.19
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? · Yes0.9981.000$5.00+$0.01
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.8401.000$4.81+$0.77
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? · No0.9651.000$4.14+$0.15
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.8101.000$3.68+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:48Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.83$0.01
09-07 09:14Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.82$0.01
09-05 13:00Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.82$0.01
08-31 22:31Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.83$0.23
08-24 00:26Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.83$0.01
08-23 23:53Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.82$0.04
08-22 20:26Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.82$0.01
08-22 20:26Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.82$0.32
08-14 22:42Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5599999417$1.92
08-10 23:55Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.56$1.19
08-09 15:30Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.82$1.74
08-04 22:24Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?SELL0.82$0.16
08-03 10:08Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?SELL0.37$1.24
08-02 18:15Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.809999747$3.17
07-27 09:23Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?SELL0.47$3.75