0xd2f26a2eb2fa5e71af86734fb7270afe49c42f05
0xd2f26a2eb2fa5e71af86734fb7270afe49c42f05
- Realised P&L
- $-99.73
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $137.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:48 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.01 |
| 09-07 09:14 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 09-05 13:00 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 08-31 22:31 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.23 |
| 08-24 00:26 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.01 |
| 08-23 23:53 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.04 |
| 08-22 20:26 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 08-22 20:26 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.32 |
| 08-14 22:42 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999417 | $1.92 |
| 08-10 23:55 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.19 |
| 08-09 15:30 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.74 |
| 08-04 22:24 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 10:08 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.24 |
| 08-02 18:15 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.809999747 | $3.17 |
| 07-27 09:23 | Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections? | SELL | 0.47 | $3.75 |