0xd2e3cc9694a8c628eefec34bef1f17461083955e
- Realised P&L
- $22.56
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $145.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.09at 0.030Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
- +$2.22at 0.329Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$1.95at 0.124Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$0.98at 0.672Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$0.77at 0.923Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:07 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31? | BUY | 0.4299999218 | $1.43 |
| 09-15 01:07 | Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999667 | $1.13 |
| 09-15 01:07 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999984 | $3.02 |
| 09-15 01:07 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31? | BUY | 0.689999921 | $2.27 |
| 09-15 01:07 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.14 |
| 09-15 01:07 | Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.06 |
| 09-12 19:53 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999889 | $2.70 |
| 09-12 19:53 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $40B by December 31? | BUY | 0.0789974937 | $3.94 |
| 09-12 19:53 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999368 | $2.18 |
| 09-12 19:53 | Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.67 |
| 09-11 01:54 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.43 |
| 09-11 01:54 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? | SELL | 0.059 | $0.97 |
| 09-11 01:54 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | SELL | 0.267 | $8.35 |
| 09-11 01:54 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.27 |
| 09-11 01:54 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.68 |