ccobro
0xd2e31f24bfa83a758c1536df58b946619d4043bd
- Realised P&L
- $-318.63
- Volume
- $16.6k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $3.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.018 | $3.75 | −$16.25 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ET · Up | 0.715 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.08 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12AM ET · Down | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.73at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1AM ET
- +$12.70at 0.873Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$11.88at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
- +$10.66at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7AM ET
- +$10.24at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 18:19 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.0269999974 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 08:26 | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | BUY | 0.0959659281 | $20.00 |
| 03-18 14:17 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 14:13 | Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 02-01 13:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $100.00 |
| 01-22 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |
| 01-22 06:06 | Solana Up or Down - January 22, 1AM ET | SELL | 0.6517239398 | $56.71 |
| 01-22 06:02 | Solana Up or Down - January 22, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.5746010473 | $50.00 |
| 01-22 05:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999983 | $80.00 |
| 01-21 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.5614159315 | $30.00 |
| 01-21 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 01-21 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999988 | $40.00 |
| 01-20 09:00 | Solana Up or Down - January 20, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $6.44 |
| 01-20 08:23 | Solana Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999952 | $40.00 |
| 01-20 08:18 | Solana Up or Down - January 20, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |