PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

59051206958212

0xd2d6c087e152f7d4f4c47a83d53cb288a80ed71b

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$91.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? · No0.1260.040$91.79−$198.20
Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.4650.000$0.00−$423.00
Will Scotland vs. Switzerland end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 14:20Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.1263691155$290.00
10-06 09:58Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.4199999999$299.00
09-29 15:07Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.6284088373$124.00
09-29 15:05Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.6963141765$200.00
09-29 15:02Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1899999998$100.00
09-29 14:58Will Scotland vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.2799999993$50.00
09-17 17:31Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.709999998$100.00
08-12 21:00Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?SELL0.999$683.24
08-12 07:21Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5599999998$380.00
08-12 07:20Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.5599999253$3.00
07-19 22:04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$2.1k
07-09 09:01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879999997$400.00