59051206958212
0xd2d6c087e152f7d4f4c47a83d53cb288a80ed71b
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $10.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $91.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? · No | 0.126 | 0.040 | $91.79 | −$198.20 |
| Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.465 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$423.00 |
| Will Scotland vs. Switzerland end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.194Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$281.12at 0.578Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?
- +$82.19at 0.714Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03?
- +$38.40at 0.727Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 14:20 | Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election? | BUY | 0.1263691155 | $290.00 |
| 10-06 09:58 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.4199999999 | $299.00 |
| 09-29 15:07 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.6284088373 | $124.00 |
| 09-29 15:05 | Will Iceland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.6963141765 | $200.00 |
| 09-29 15:02 | Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 14:58 | Will Scotland vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 17:31 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-12 21:00 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | SELL | 0.999 | $683.24 |
| 08-12 07:21 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.5599999998 | $380.00 |
| 08-12 07:20 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 22:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.1k |
| 07-09 09:01 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1879999997 | $400.00 |