PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd2d65f511b1f4170625539803907587803595804

Realised P&L
$0.21
Volume
$14.21
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$2.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.7100.645$0.91$0.09
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.5300.470$0.89$0.11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3600.115$0.32$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:07Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-15 10:56Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-13 02:28Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-10 23:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-10 15:44Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-10 07:42Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-09 23:15Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-09 15:11Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.7299998102$1.00