thegreatrejuvenationoftheChinesenation
0xd2d39624d1c6dbe8eb284c56905e7a49b79ef535
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $563.7k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $469.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.765 | $469.93 | +$39.93 |
| Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.992Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
- +$585.04at 0.956Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
- +$521.32at 0.959Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$318.60at 0.943Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
- +$287.11at 0.975Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 03:25 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.6999999992 | $430.00 |
| 04-13 18:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.5k |
| 04-13 18:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $557.88 |
| 04-13 18:40 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 04-13 18:39 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.7k |
| 04-13 18:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $455.59 |
| 04-13 18:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.8k |
| 04-13 18:36 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.3k |
| 04-13 06:19 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.8330636966 | $766.28 |
| 04-12 19:51 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.9850787746 | $10.0k |
| 04-12 19:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.2k |
| 04-12 19:14 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.592 | $84.35 |
| 04-12 19:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.7k |
| 04-12 18:25 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.986 | $9.9k |
| 04-12 18:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.5k |