oxidePickle
0xd2d395cbb41f7249331b4f31ddd50e3aae50c382
- Realised P&L
- $41.65
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $297.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? · No | 0.097 | 0.205 | $284.41 | +$149.32 |
| Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.145 | $12.62 | −$24.88 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.20 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 15:00 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.0996962181 | $105.15 |
| 07-21 14:36 | Will Kyriakos Mitsotakis be the next Prime Minister of Greece? | BUY | 0.0899999974 | $29.94 |
| 07-13 20:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1729999863 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 07:36 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.1101955677 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 07:51 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.0458902263 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 19:45 | Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $14.50 |
| 06-29 12:40 | Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? | BUY | 0.3706611472 | $23.00 |
| 06-29 12:36 | Will France be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 10:39 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |