PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tshisfdih

0xd2d2104ff3dcb53066872b4fd15e8260c7ccc66a

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$87.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? · Yes0.9500.965$50.32+$0.78
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9690.897$18.85−$1.50
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.988$18.77+$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 12:03Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.927734368$50.00
05-12 12:08Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?SELL0.989$3.09
03-13 07:58Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$20.12
12-09 12:51Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)BUY0.74$147.26
08-19 12:47Sun vs MysticsBUY0.7$410.20
06-27 13:03Twins vs. TigersBUY0.52$502.32
05-28 14:01Nationals vs. MarinersBUY0.66$507.54
05-23 10:04Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers HyderabadBUY0.44$889.68
05-19 08:55Phillies vs. RockiesBUY0.29$9.25
05-08 12:34Stars vs. JetsBUY0.52$503.88