tshisfdih
0xd2d2104ff3dcb53066872b4fd15e8260c7ccc66a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $87.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the OH-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.965 | $50.32 | +$0.78 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.969 | 0.897 | $18.85 | −$1.50 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.988 | $18.77 | +$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.440Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad
- +$914.88at 0.520Guardians vs. Athletics
- +$465.12at 0.520Stars vs. Jets
- +$2.66at 0.927Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
- +$2.57at 0.950Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 12:03 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.927734368 | $50.00 |
| 05-12 12:08 | Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $3.09 |
| 03-13 07:58 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.12 |
| 12-09 12:51 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) | BUY | 0.74 | $147.26 |
| 08-19 12:47 | Sun vs Mystics | BUY | 0.7 | $410.20 |
| 06-27 13:03 | Twins vs. Tigers | BUY | 0.52 | $502.32 |
| 05-28 14:01 | Nationals vs. Mariners | BUY | 0.66 | $507.54 |
| 05-23 10:04 | Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad | BUY | 0.44 | $889.68 |
| 05-19 08:55 | Phillies vs. Rockies | BUY | 0.29 | $9.25 |
| 05-08 12:34 | Stars vs. Jets | BUY | 0.52 | $503.88 |