Lukeicd
0xd2cc2f87a8b4013ca29afdc49b2c981daf29d361
- Realised P&L
- $20.07
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $0.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers · Kiwoom Heroes | 0.563 | 0.001 | $0.44 | −$499.56 |
| SMU vs. Louisville · SMU | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Steelers vs. Bills · Steelers | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$403.37 |
| SMU vs. Florida State · Florida State | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$434.78 |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds · Over | 0.348 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$359.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels · Minnesota Twins | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.04 |
| UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) · JooSang Yoo | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$340.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$935.83at 0.607NC State vs. Vanderbilt
- +$748.71at 0.472Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$661.63at 0.430LSU vs. Ole Miss
- +$463.13at 0.431Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$340.09at 0.522Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 05:18 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers | BUY | 0.5628517819 | $500.00 |
| 09-20 05:02 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.4 | $400.00 |
| 09-20 04:09 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.999 | $577.50 |
| 09-20 03:36 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6054501282 | $350.00 |
| 09-20 03:28 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 09-20 00:03 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $296.04 |
| 09-19 23:40 | UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6199999997 | $340.00 |
| 09-19 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | SELL | 0.4944149995 | $198.70 |
| 09-19 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6220718184 | $250.00 |
| 09-19 23:20 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-19 23:05 | O/U 1.5 Rounds | BUY | 0.3480115837 | $359.00 |
| 09-19 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5424886815 | $250.00 |
| 09-19 21:09 | SMU vs. Louisville | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $1.0k |
| 09-19 21:03 | NC State vs. Vanderbilt | SELL | 0.999 | $2.4k |
| 09-19 16:47 | NC State vs. Vanderbilt | BUY | 0.6069820133 | $1.4k |