DOF2
0xd2cb73053a9858deaf8cda1bf78d20307e95b9ea
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $947.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $13.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.933 | 0.935 | $13.7k | +$36.59 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.781 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.6k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.5kat 0.840Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$2.2kat 0.6412026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$1.7kat 0.449Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$799.99at 0.880Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
- +$750.00at 0.995US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:21 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.4655238017 | $283.50 |
| 10-20 14:20 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.955512674 | $26.1k |
| 10-02 19:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $5.1k |
| 10-02 19:32 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.444 | $4.3k |
| 04-06 16:14 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $149.3k |