PolyBot

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Traders

0xd2c45f74e73a3151e759b4ce7282998c1b617244

0xd2c45f74e73a3151e759b4ce7282998c1b617244

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$83.8k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$472.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? · No0.0900.094$208.99+$8.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27? · No0.1350.073$108.30$91.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27? · No0.0790.030$76.88$123.12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27? · No0.0400.018$45.26$54.74
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 27? · No0.0420.007$17.90$82.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 27? · Yes0.1310.017$13.01$86.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24? · No0.0490.001$1.02$98.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24? · No0.1100.001$0.91$99.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? · No0.2600.001$0.19$99.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28?BUY0.0899550225$200.00
09-21 12:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27?BUY0.0787036507$100.00
09-21 12:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27?BUY0.1299999999$100.00
09-21 12:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 27?BUY0.1306907725$100.00
09-21 12:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?SELL0.3319520358$553.25
09-21 12:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 27?BUY0.0419000499$100.00
09-21 12:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27?BUY0.0397681187$100.00
09-21 12:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27?BUY0.08$100.00
09-21 12:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27?BUY0.1399999999$100.00
09-18 14:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?BUY0.2599999997$100.00
09-18 14:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24?BUY0.049$100.00
09-18 14:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24?BUY0.1099999999$100.00
09-18 14:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?BUY0.06$100.00
09-16 10:33Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?SELL0.7310553409$1.2k
09-03 20:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7?BUY0.1493886263$183.72