0xd2c45f74e73a3151e759b4ce7282998c1b617244
0xd2c45f74e73a3151e759b4ce7282998c1b617244
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $83.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $472.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? · No | 0.090 | 0.094 | $208.99 | +$8.99 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27? · No | 0.135 | 0.073 | $108.30 | −$91.70 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27? · No | 0.079 | 0.030 | $76.88 | −$123.12 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27? · No | 0.040 | 0.018 | $45.26 | −$54.74 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 27? · No | 0.042 | 0.007 | $17.90 | −$82.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 27? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.017 | $13.01 | −$86.99 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24? · No | 0.049 | 0.001 | $1.02 | −$98.98 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24? · No | 0.110 | 0.001 | $0.91 | −$99.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? · No | 0.260 | 0.001 | $0.19 | −$99.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$993.22at 0.131Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?
- +$663.16at 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?
- +$608.91at 0.040Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
- +$417.53at 0.064Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24?
- +$278.55at 0.011Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 12:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0899550225 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 12:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0787036507 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.1306907725 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? | SELL | 0.3319520358 | $553.25 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0419000499 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0397681187 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 14:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 14:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.049 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 14:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 10:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | SELL | 0.7310553409 | $1.2k |
| 09-03 20:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.1493886263 | $183.72 |