PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd2c18abDABF4601F22521BedD16425C474557C9A-1733989337516

0xd2c18abdabf4601f22521bedd16425c474557c9a

Realised P&L
$-45.41
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$32.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.9980.670$18.81−$9.19
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? · No0.9980.998$13.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:38Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8?BUY0.998$14.00
10-06 19:02Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.998$28.00
10-05 07:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 6?BUY0.9979999857$35.80
10-02 20:11Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.9939999754$32.20
09-27 04:13Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 21-27?BUY0.997$12.00
09-27 01:04Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?BUY0.996$37.70
09-24 05:31Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.996$26.00
09-20 04:54Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20?BUY0.9944729288$19.00
09-18 03:36Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.9979999606$25.20
09-14 10:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15?BUY0.9929999998$14.00
09-12 03:20Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.998$15.00
09-07 06:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 8?BUY0.996$23.60
09-03 15:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?BUY0.9969999681$17.00
09-02 12:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 3?BUY0.997$25.10
08-26 07:58Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.998$22.50