0xD2Be12B7430a3Cc712b6083854501DA79eea1d51-1772039759759
0xd2be12b7430a3cc712b6083854501da79eea1d51
- Realised P&L
- $-678.48
- Volume
- $115.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $4.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.038 | $4.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance · Paraguay | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.89at 0.135Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.38at 0.041Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
- +$5.81at 0.519Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$4.46at 0.647Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$2.77at 0.262Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:47 | Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? | BUY | 0.0456349195 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? | BUY | 0.0336633662 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 01:40 | Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? | BUY | 0.0591132993 | $2.00 |
| 10-25 23:43 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0339999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 23:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0769999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 22:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 22:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7471203804 | $62.06 |
| 10-11 17:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999986 | $10.80 |
| 10-04 23:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.856 | $1.07 |
| 10-04 20:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.718 | $0.89 |
| 10-04 20:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.714 | $5.31 |
| 09-29 23:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.583 | $5.78 |
| 09-10 17:23 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.527 | $10.04 |
| 07-30 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $5.27 |
| 07-30 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |