PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD2Be12B7430a3Cc712b6083854501DA79eea1d51-1772039759759

0xd2be12b7430a3cc712b6083854501da79eea1d51

Realised P&L
$-678.48
Volume
$115.9k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$4.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? · Yes0.0430.038$4.38−$0.62
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.0640.000$0.00−$1.00
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance · Paraguay0.0200.000$0.00−$5.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0530.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:47Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?BUY0.0456349195$1.00
10-29 17:05Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?BUY0.0336633662$2.00
10-28 01:40Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?BUY0.0591132993$2.00
10-25 23:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0339999999$5.00
10-25 23:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0769999999$5.00
10-25 22:25Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.119999999$10.00
10-25 22:23Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7471203804$62.06
10-11 17:02Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1299999986$10.80
10-04 23:30Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.856$1.07
10-04 20:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.718$0.89
10-04 20:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.714$5.31
09-29 23:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.583$5.78
09-10 17:23Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.527$10.04
07-30 16:06Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSELL0.76$5.27
07-30 16:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.7199999654$5.00