PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EverythingAlwaysHappens

0xd2b9591605be8fadc6caa8d43a3209e503190a94

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$127.9k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9840.968$3.1k$52.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 08:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.96$895.00
07-21 02:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.999$746.37
07-02 04:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.8699999999$650.00
07-02 03:32Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.9837352681$3.2k
06-27 01:30Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.009$11.63
06-25 08:35US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$3.2k
05-25 12:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.9$450.00
05-21 08:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY0.95$598.49
04-17 23:25Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.339999999$143.58
04-10 05:31Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.9816805071$2.9k
04-10 05:29LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2BUY0.689999999$98.14
04-10 05:25Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.69$600.00
04-05 05:09Netanyahu out by March 31?SELL0.999$2.0k
03-19 23:46Will Trump visit China by March 31?BUY0.98775129$567.13
03-19 23:45Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?BUY0.9896560668$1000.00