0xd2b5a4be2eb6be50a91a413b6f71ee222143b7b3
- Realised P&L
- $111.7k
- Volume
- $827.3k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $616.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.105 | $616.42 | −$384.65 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.5kat 0.169Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$17.8kat 0.526Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$16.6kat 0.631Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5
- +$9.6kat 0.586Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
- +$9.1kat 0.40976ers vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 19:15 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5497582364 | $30.0k |
| 08-06 04:10 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $50.6k |
| 08-05 23:17 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5949813974 | $30.1k |
| 07-19 16:24 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5924999997 | $1.7k |
| 07-05 23:46 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $609.00 |
| 06-18 13:00 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 13:00 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.21 | $30.58 |
| 06-18 12:59 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.2081132075 | $55.15 |
| 06-18 12:58 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1907563962 | $426.10 |
| 06-18 12:56 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1506679808 | $479.24 |
| 06-15 02:51 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 06-14 14:01 | UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.23 | $1.1k |
| 06-13 22:51 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.2 | $197.00 |
| 06-13 21:30 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3599999999 | $2.0k |
| 06-11 15:45 | Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.2780848584 | $471.00 |