PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bigticketchicken

0xd2aefe830ebe42d817a65c7b2bccab0ec362f36b

Realised P&L
$-7.0k
Volume
$1.23M
Markets traded
6,172
Open portfolio
$426.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,172
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.180$180.96−$100.57
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1000.032$73.11−$158.28
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0810.075$32.91−$2.71
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1590.140$28.11−$3.82
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5850.444$22.18−$7.08
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3590.160$17.29−$21.48
Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.100$10.60−$7.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.415$8.30−$0.70
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2010.150$8.21−$2.79
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5180.130$7.80−$23.30
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1570.060$7.20−$11.60
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.029$5.67−$1.93
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2570.075$5.10−$12.38
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.017$4.95+$1.95
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.195$4.88+$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:12Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3019796346$50.42
10-28 20:53LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.34$37.40
10-28 20:49LoL: Movistar KOI vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.479$7.66
10-27 06:31Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$38.88
10-26 21:14LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.37$11.10
10-26 21:13LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group StageSELL0.999$62.60
10-26 19:34LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.39$6.11
10-26 19:33Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$7.50
10-26 19:28LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.41$16.40
10-25 19:06LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.09$5.40
10-25 19:06Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)BUY0.52$26.00
10-25 12:25Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.245$9.80
10-25 12:04Will AVAX reach $14 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1766666667$10.60
10-25 12:04Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$2.10
10-25 12:04Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$12.60