bigbigba
0xd2a5168a1b7aba6c953e8bc6e8a9c134ec269ae8
- Realised P&L
- $-106.22
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $400.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8? · No | 0.932 | 0.997 | $149.55 | +$9.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? · No | 0.944 | 0.945 | $141.74 | +$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9? · No | 0.945 | 0.920 | $62.65 | −$1.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 8? · No | 0.960 | 1.000 | $46.84 | +$1.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21? · No | 0.886 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? · No | 0.821 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$217.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 26? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 29? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.91at 0.892Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?
- +$40.81at 0.924Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?
- +$34.21at 0.885Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 27?
- +$33.43at 0.766Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?
- +$22.96at 0.884Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.41 |
| 08-08 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.81 |
| 08-08 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.99 |
| 08-08 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.99 |
| 08-08 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.91 |
| 08-07 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.93 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.99 |
| 08-07 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $14.99 |