0xd2a1c2356cabd7eed1d90cdc2be0f8471e0d4ca0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $86.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,131
- Open portfolio
- $17.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,131
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.540 | 0.795 | $5.71 | +$1.83 |
| Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · Paper Rex | 0.600 | 0.580 | $4.70 | −$0.16 |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.545 | $3.92 | +$0.04 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.435 | $3.65 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.94at 0.427Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$194.11at 0.183Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
- +$149.54at 0.722Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 28?
- +$145.82at 0.718Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-25?
- +$109.62at 0.734Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:34 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5499999575 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 20:34 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5399999388 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 20:32 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5299999071 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 20:32 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5399999388 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 18:49 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4599998822 | $1.25 |
| 09-16 17:59 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4599999094 | $1.93 |
| 09-16 17:51 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.4599999094 | $1.93 |
| 09-16 17:46 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.4599999094 | $1.93 |
| 09-16 17:30 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.6299998961 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 17:29 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.6299998961 | $1.94 |
| 09-16 11:47 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.6 | $4.86 |
| 09-15 06:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $3.34 |
| 09-15 06:24 | Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $3.38 |
| 09-15 06:24 | US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.12 |
| 09-15 06:24 | OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | SELL | 0.448 | $7.24 |