diamond.gurl
0xd2a042768c7cbc30777b79376d507638db769ae4
- Realised P&L
- $-348.76
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $105.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google say "Autonomous" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.674 | 1.000 | $50.00 | +$16.30 |
| Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.720 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$5.60 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.934 | 0.977 | $19.54 | +$0.86 |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in March? · Yes | 0.983 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$0.17 |
| Will PayPal say "Bitcoin" during earnings call? · No | 0.670 | 1.000 | $6.06 | +$2.00 |
| Will Google say "DeepMind" or "Deep Mind" during earnings call? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.00 |
| Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.99at 0.951Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.43at 0.730U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7?
- +$-95.99at 0.572Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 11:24 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 03-02 11:24 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 03-02 11:20 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 03-02 11:20 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 03-02 11:16 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 03-02 11:16 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 03-02 11:12 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 03-02 11:12 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.10 |
| 03-02 11:08 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.05 |
| 03-02 11:08 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 03-02 11:04 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.05 |
| 03-02 11:04 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 03-02 11:00 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.042 | $1.05 |
| 03-02 11:00 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 03-02 10:53 | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.43 |