0xd29D50D938E41D7542d91C94cd4334625c30765c-1782162286348
0xd29d50d938e41d7542d91c94cd4334625c30765c
- Realised P&L
- $32.79
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $46.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.86at 0.088Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
- +$13.25at 0.073Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?
- +$13.02at 0.070Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026?
- +$10.17at 0.083Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
- +$10.07at 0.093Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.11 |
| 09-23 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | SELL | 0.51 | $1.13 |
| 09-22 20:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.23 |
| 09-22 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 20:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.30 |
| 09-22 20:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.38 |
| 09-21 23:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.73 |
| 09-21 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.27 |
| 09-21 23:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.42 |
| 09-21 23:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.71 |
| 09-21 07:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.08 |