0xd29D50D938E41D7542d91C94cd4334625c30765c-1782162286348
0xd29d50d938e41d7542d91c94cd4334625c30765c
- Realised P&L
- $34.31
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $52.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.02at 0.086Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?
- +$13.29at 0.070Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 9, 2026?
- +$10.25at 0.080Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
- +$10.11at 0.090Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 10, 2026?
- +$9.63at 0.080Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1252649355 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.94 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:11 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:08 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.19 |
| 08-04 08:08 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.56 |
| 08-04 08:08 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | SELL | 0.52 | $3.71 |
| 07-29 12:01 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 12:00 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.1057692125 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 20:53 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 20:51 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1946850969 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 20:51 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 20:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.096 | $5.65 |