AAAnonymous
0xd29c4fe3c1cdeb8d537d438121a4dff67a0fd974
- Realised P&L
- $-41.89
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $218.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.575 | $121.07 | +$13.57 |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes | 0.312 | 0.405 | $97.25 | +$22.25 |
| Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.25 |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.29at 0.168Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
- +$6.46at 0.480Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$0.00at 0.6402026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$-2.92at 0.440Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 10:30 | Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.5105465767 | $107.50 |
| 10-29 10:30 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4283252 | $107.08 |
| 10-29 10:28 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $110.00 |
| 10-29 10:28 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | SELL | 0.2205838 | $110.29 |
| 10-21 17:02 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.168 | $84.00 |
| 10-21 16:55 | Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.3123360236 | $75.00 |
| 10-21 16:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.64 | $159.16 |
| 10-21 10:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.64 | $159.16 |
| 08-03 11:55 | Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.3499999925 | $23.25 |
| 06-09 22:21 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.0109999993 | $16.45 |
| 06-06 12:40 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.1351840535 | $7.36 |
| 06-06 06:03 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.11 | $12.65 |
| 06-06 06:01 | Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.942 | $13.23 |
| 06-03 08:12 | Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4699999687 | $6.60 |
| 06-02 20:40 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.3599999794 | $9.80 |