PolyBot

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Traders

AAAnonymous

0xd29c4fe3c1cdeb8d537d438121a4dff67a0fd974

Realised P&L
$-41.89
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$218.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes0.5100.575$121.07+$13.57
Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes0.3120.405$97.25+$22.25
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$23.25
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$46.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 10:30Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?BUY0.5105465767$107.50
10-29 10:30Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.4283252$107.08
10-29 10:28Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.44$110.00
10-29 10:28Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?SELL0.2205838$110.29
10-21 17:02Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?BUY0.168$84.00
10-21 16:55Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats?BUY0.3123360236$75.00
10-21 16:502026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.64$159.16
10-21 10:482026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.64$159.16
08-03 11:55Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?BUY0.3499999925$23.25
06-09 22:21Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.0109999993$16.45
06-06 12:40Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.1351840535$7.36
06-06 06:03Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.11$12.65
06-06 06:01Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.942$13.23
06-03 08:12Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4699999687$6.60
06-02 20:40Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?BUY0.3599999794$9.80