0xd29AE8E9A2a5D25D48462CC5f987aFA7e8a253BB-1772789422149
0xd29ae8e9a2a5d25d48462cc5f987afa7e8a253bb
- Realised P&L
- $198.01
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $345.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.963 | $230.04 | +$7.77 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.997 | $28.80 | +$0.19 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.997 | $28.80 | +$0.19 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.997 | $28.80 | +$0.19 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.990 | 0.997 | $28.80 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.72at 0.820LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner
- +$99.88at 0.820LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner
- +$50.92at 0.890LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
- +$26.04at 0.972Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$11.96at 0.935Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 23:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 10-09 23:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 10-09 23:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 10-09 23:41 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.61 |
| 09-10 05:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $222.27 |
| 09-03 06:25 | Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.93 |
| 09-03 06:21 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $134.50 |
| 09-02 08:56 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.00 |
| 08-22 07:10 | Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $152.00 |
| 08-22 07:07 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.9949999956 | $200.00 |
| 08-18 06:19 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.9988719394 | $351.00 |
| 08-12 06:17 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $5.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $216.80 |
| 08-11 03:34 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 10 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $112.89 |
| 08-08 04:39 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $222.78 |
| 08-06 06:12 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.92 |