PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

breadNeglect

0xd2994555aa95c0b0454c20fb69199e686c6bb988

Realised P&L
$-102.87
Volume
$62.7k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$8.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9020.993$3.97+$0.36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.9090.912$1.82+$0.01
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes0.0960.016$1.38$6.88
Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No0.9290.996$1.00+$0.07
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$0.06
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 14:52Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Morocco?BUY0.9$13.50
06-14 12:09Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)BUY0.91$12.74
05-30 07:22CD Garcilaso vs. ADC Juan Pablo II College: O/U 5.5BUY0.94$14.10
05-21 06:42Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?BUY0.93$15.81
05-10 06:36Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.94$17.86
03-17 13:38Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?SELL0.09$3.51
03-17 13:32Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?SELL0.104$75.92
03-17 11:43Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?SELL0.8896$22.24
03-17 11:33Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?BUY0.894$741.13
03-17 11:26Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.061$81.56
03-17 11:16Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.062$82.89
03-17 11:09Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.944$785.41
03-17 10:46Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.054$27.92
03-17 10:30Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.909$245.43
03-17 10:24Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.082$49.77