heyguys01
0xd292ffe991f52953679ff603f5e73093e0ebb066
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $247.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,242
- Open portfolio
- $128.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,242
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $67.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.955 | $95.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $240 on October 6? · No | 0.810 | 0.545 | $32.70 | −$15.90 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $332 Week of September 7 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.27 |
| Will Meta (META) close above $630 on September 9? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$156.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.28at 0.694Will Solana dip to $80 in April?
- +$188.70at 0.674Will Solana dip to $100 by March?
- +$162.33at 0.590Will Solana dip to $110 in March?
- +$144.00at 0.280Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?
- +$136.26at 0.659Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 03:14 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $36.55 |
| 10-05 02:19 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $67.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-05 02:07 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $36.55 |
| 10-01 14:33 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.296651 | $59.33 |
| 09-28 00:38 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 09-25 13:31 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $800 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.09 |
| 09-25 01:47 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $198 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $154.00 |
| 09-24 18:11 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 24? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-24 16:46 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 24? | BUY | 0.855 | $85.50 |
| 09-24 16:43 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on September 24? | SELL | 0.753 | $34.64 |
| 09-24 16:42 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on September 24? | SELL | 0.77 | $41.58 |
| 09-24 13:01 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24? | SELL | 0.62 | $37.20 |
| 09-24 13:01 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24? | SELL | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 09-24 11:37 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.75875 | $121.40 |
| 09-24 11:27 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 on September 24? | SELL | 0.73 | $146.00 |