0xd28ca86a3ce491cebbc85ebc4ff889330e1c26ec
0xd28ca86a3ce491cebbc85ebc4ff889330e1c26ec
- Realised P&L
- $-21.71
- Volume
- $94.44
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $7.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.495 | $1.98 | +$0.98 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.952 | $1.49 | +$0.49 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.690 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.700 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.640 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.095 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.014 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.730Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.78at 0.748S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4?
- +$0.46at 0.689S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?
- +$-1.01at 0.728Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$-1.89at 0.490US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:51 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:51 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $117.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:50 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:05 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:13 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 22:28 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 05:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:56 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 01:35 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999443 | $2.29 |
| 08-05 17:31 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.6499999716 | $2.29 |
| 08-05 09:27 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999057 | $2.29 |
| 08-04 12:57 | Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999497 | $2.29 |
| 08-04 04:54 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 08-03 20:52 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999214 | $2.29 |