0xD2816C5037f7f682a01b7436bA28794B3C09D824-1775857330899
0xd2816c5037f7f682a01b7436ba28794b3c09d824
- Realised P&L
- $-779.86
- Volume
- $99.3k
- Markets traded
- 534
- Open portfolio
- $799.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded534
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.54at 0.450Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5
- +$57.59at 0.459Senators vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5
- +$55.05at 0.231Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5
- +$54.82at 0.247Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5
- +$50.58at 0.246Kings vs. Flames: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.80 |
| 10-31 22:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.002109638 | $2.51 |
| 10-30 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.9897689677 | $214.21 |
| 10-30 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.9883766363 | $79.28 |
| 10-29 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $83.31 |
| 10-29 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $77.15 |
| 10-24 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $45.43 |
| 10-23 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.9968234528 | $15.30 |
| 10-22 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 10-17 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 10-17 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 10-16 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 10-16 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.959 | $479.50 |
| 10-12 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.38 |
| 10-10 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |