PolyBot

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Traders

0xD2816C5037f7f682a01b7436bA28794B3C09D824-1775857330899

0xd2816c5037f7f682a01b7436ba28794b3c09d824

Realised P&L
$-779.86
Volume
$99.3k
Markets traded
534
Open portfolio
$799.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded534
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1? · Yes0.9921.000$321.99+$2.42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? · Yes0.9911.000$260.71+$2.28
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? · Yes0.9921.000$108.72+$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1? · No0.9901.000$107.73+$1.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 17? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$30.40
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner · BetBoom Team0.1300.000$0.00−$1.30
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Team Liquid0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Toronto Blue Jays0.4400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 17? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$30.40
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 17? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00−$30.40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? · Yes0.4020.000$0.00−$8.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$37.76
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16? · Yes0.4480.000$0.00−$23.32
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00−$9.73
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$14.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:59Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1?BUY0.99$59.80
10-31 22:40Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?BUY0.002109638$2.51
10-30 16:10Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?BUY0.9897689677$214.21
10-30 16:09Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?BUY0.9883766363$79.28
10-29 22:47Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 29?BUY0.99$83.31
10-29 22:46Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 29?BUY0.99$77.15
10-24 22:01Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 24?BUY0.99$45.43
10-23 11:06Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 22?SELL0.9968234528$15.30
10-22 08:22Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on October 20?SELL0.999$1.2k
10-17 23:36Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 17?SELL0.999$1.1k
10-17 07:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 17?SELL0.999$1.1k
10-16 19:50Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16?SELL0.999$1.0k
10-16 10:17Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 16?BUY0.959$479.50
10-12 13:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?SELL0.999$38.38
10-10 08:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?SELL0.999$499.50