Dreamer3bcbcd6c
0xd28021317c1be36239e8d930dee7d6c3a40082b3
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $9.27M
- Markets traded
- 7,406
- Open portfolio
- $16.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,406
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.985 | $13.8k | +$6.8k |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · No | 0.974 | 0.996 | $995.50 | +$21.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No | 0.973 | 0.997 | $598.31 | +$14.05 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.015 | $217.00 | −$6.8k |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.235 | $141.00 | +$1.32 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.095 | $122.22 | −$164.14 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.065 | $118.87 | −$213.48 |
| BNB Up or Down - July 14, 7AM ET · Down | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.13 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No | 0.825 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$330.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27? · No | 0.994 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.24 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.509Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 20?
- +$606.80at 0.840Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on October 31?
- +$409.08at 0.085Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 11?
- +$351.47at 0.993Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$348.15at 0.995Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 01:10 | BNB Up or Down - August 30, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-15 11:20 | Iran leadership change by August 22? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 07-14 12:01 | BNB Up or Down - July 14, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.0059782215 | $7.13 |
| 06-26 20:13 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.883 | $88.30 |
| 06-26 00:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 06-23 17:51 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 06-13 23:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $198.20 |
| 06-13 09:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 06-12 11:44 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.40 |
| 05-29 17:01 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.94 |
| 05-27 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $517.48 |
| 05-27 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 05-27 11:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 05-27 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $477.54 |
| 05-27 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.69 |