nondvcordvco
0xd27fc2a746a37826136c319c784c8d128adafb74
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $71.7k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$658.95at 0.415Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$399.97at 0.861Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$135.63at 0.745XRP Up or Down - January 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$129.25at 0.564Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$97.72at 0.523Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:37 | Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.998 | $221.39 |
| 08-27 19:47 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7825362678 | $100.00 |
| 07-03 00:31 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 06-30 19:29 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.008 | $10.16 |
| 06-30 19:27 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.027 | $8.44 |
| 06-30 19:26 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.03 | $14.43 |
| 06-30 19:26 | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.81 | $15.28 |
| 06-30 19:26 | Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.7 | $23.56 |
| 06-30 19:26 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $24.62 |
| 06-25 17:58 | Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.47 | $42.72 |
| 06-22 21:04 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.665068068 | $150.02 |
| 06-22 17:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2534115309 | $1.5k |
| 06-22 17:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2507342462 | $300.00 |
| 06-22 17:36 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8642142132 | $1000.00 |
| 06-22 17:35 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |