PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nondvcordvco

0xd27fc2a746a37826136c319c784c8d128adafb74

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$71.7k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$9.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2900.541$7.5k+$3.5k
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6750.857$1.1k+$229.77
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8750.978$1.0k+$104.94
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · No0.9270.993$107.10+$7.10
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes0.4300.665$15.47+$5.47
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0190.002$0.79$9.21
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0250.001$0.30$14.70
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00$320.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$30.00
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5630.000$0.00$60.00
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1970.000$0.00$51.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$51.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:37Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?SELL0.998$221.39
08-27 19:47Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.7825362678$100.00
07-03 00:31Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$0.50
06-30 19:29Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.008$10.16
06-30 19:27Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.027$8.44
06-30 19:26Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.03$14.43
06-30 19:26Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.81$15.28
06-30 19:26Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.7$23.56
06-30 19:26Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.016$24.62
06-25 17:58Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.47$42.72
06-22 21:04Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.665068068$150.02
06-22 17:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2534115309$1.5k
06-22 17:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2507342462$300.00
06-22 17:36Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8642142132$1000.00
06-22 17:35Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.66$100.00