Kadlanko
0xd27ef135c88cd7daf203ffaa2f72688f674cc895
- Realised P&L
- $-286.95
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Aurora | 0.430 | 0.405 | $2.02 | −$0.13 |
| Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Moyuka Uchijima · Lanlana Tararudee | 0.690 | 0.665 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? · No | 0.234 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.42 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa · Paula Badosa | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.74at 0.231Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.788Davis Cup: Cristian Garin vs. Rafael Jodar
- +$-7.85at 0.195Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$-9.64at 0.318Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:03 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-19 14:01 | Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Moyuka Uchijima | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:37 | Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 13:37 | Davis Cup: Cristian Garin vs. Rafael Jodar | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 01-30 17:57 | Will Chuck Schumer be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? | BUY | 0.0705352655 | $59.42 |
| 01-29 19:34 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 01-28 18:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2809999748 | $4.93 |
| 01-28 18:32 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1479999886 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 18:08 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1848801124 | $4.00 |
| 01-27 18:07 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 01-27 18:07 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0829999638 | $2.00 |
| 01-27 18:07 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.033999968 | $1.00 |
| 01-27 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.0114138809 | $0.36 |
| 01-27 13:19 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.3183642076 | $10.00 |
| 01-27 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.6221142568 | $12.31 |