C88Aeb0fBc67
0xd27cfd7a9754c3be4c12613c88aeb0fbc67a2afd
- Realised P&L
- $3.20
- Volume
- $99.0k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $8.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · No | 0.997 | 0.967 | $8.11 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.91at 0.994Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
- +$0.84at 0.994Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?
- +$0.68at 0.995Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?
- +$0.37at 0.957Jones-Aspinall date announced before February?
- +$0.32at 0.848Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 09:10 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.37 |
| 09-11 09:10 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | SELL | 0.902 | $2.22 |
| 08-05 01:41 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.9389999955 | $2.31 |
| 08-05 01:41 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.966 | $3.72 |
| 07-24 04:54 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963999772 | $3.72 |
| 07-24 04:53 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $4.65 |
| 06-05 03:43 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9579999992 | $4.67 |
| 06-05 03:43 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.988 | $2.50 |
| 05-11 06:07 | Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.48 |
| 03-15 02:13 | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $150.63 |
| 03-15 02:12 | Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $10.03 |
| 02-26 04:45 | Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $10.00 |
| 02-07 23:59 | Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election? | BUY | 0.9954548388 | $149.91 |
| 02-07 23:58 | Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $6.52 |
| 01-11 15:04 | Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31? | BUY | 0.9759999988 | $6.50 |