ribaron
0xd277e453bf1de2de5a0da5a5bac2d5fd6c6dd39e
- Realised P&L
- $-42.85
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $13.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.749 | 1.000 | $6.68 | +$1.68 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.330 | $5.89 | +$0.89 |
| Will Rafael Leao join Paris Saint-Germain? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.066 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Rafael Leao join Liverpool? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.115 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Ujpest FC Budapest win on 2026-07-24? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Inter win on 2025-08-31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.25at 0.670Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$10.10at 0.840Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?
- +$4.95at 0.910Will Jack Grealish sign with a new club during the transfer window?
- +$4.53at 0.750Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?
- +$3.87at 0.891Will Victor Osimhen sign with a new club during the transfer window?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:36 | Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.03 |
| 07-24 15:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7489998601 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 15:20 | Will Rafael Leao join Liverpool? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 15:20 | Will Rafael Leao join Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.0794517827 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 15:19 | Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.3204919981 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 15:18 | Will Ujpest FC Budapest win on 2026-07-24? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 15:16 | Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 19:02 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7599999938 | $9.80 |
| 01-13 16:29 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 01-13 16:29 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 16:28 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-01-15? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 07:30 | Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 07:30 | Will Sporting CP win on 2025-09-18? | BUY | 0.8965304269 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 07:28 | Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14? | BUY | 0.75 | $13.59 |
| 08-31 09:43 | Will Inter win on 2025-08-31? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |