ribaron
0xd277e453bf1de2de5a0da5a5bac2d5fd6c6dd39e
- Realised P&L
- $18.19
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $49.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.654 | 0.630 | $28.92 | −$1.08 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.786 | 0.810 | $20.61 | +$0.61 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spain win the UEFA Women's Euro? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Rafael Leao join Paris Saint-Germain? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ujpest FC Budapest win on 2026-07-24? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Inter win on 2025-08-31? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.25at 0.670Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$19.20at 0.808Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?
- +$16.63at 0.870Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?
- +$10.10at 0.840Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?
- +$10.03at 0.888Will Rodri join Barcelona?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 10:11 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:10 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:10 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 10:09 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.7860261978 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 10:08 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.759999998 | $30.00 |
| 10-11 16:48 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6539999948 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 11:13 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 20:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 08:26 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 21:26 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 15:40 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? | SELL | 0.8248577949 | $93.97 |
| 08-29 07:19 | Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City? | BUY | 0.7899999938 | $90.00 |
| 08-28 22:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.54 |
| 08-28 08:25 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 08:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6999999491 | $11.00 |