-jopa
0xd27798bcf54f71fc61e0c0390bf0a6cda120f4bc
- Realised P&L
- $-469.23
- Volume
- $195.1k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $563.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No | 0.285 | 0.315 | $164.80 | +$15.84 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.195 | 0.265 | $98.96 | +$26.27 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.135 | 0.160 | $85.70 | +$13.16 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.460 | 0.490 | $73.50 | +$4.50 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? · No | 0.063 | 0.056 | $40.50 | −$4.72 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? · No | 0.103 | 0.090 | $33.90 | −$4.97 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? · No | 0.228 | 0.205 | $25.64 | −$2.82 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.130 | 0.110 | $25.38 | −$4.61 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.057 | 0.046 | $15.40 | −$3.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$995.30at 0.194Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
- +$567.89at 0.394Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$517.95at 0.090Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
- +$404.13at 0.501Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
- +$338.61at 0.460Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 02:44 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.13 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 19:37 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.14 |
| 10-17 16:57 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? | BUY | 0.2275283132 | $28.46 |
| 10-17 16:57 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.148953053 | $18.87 |
| 10-17 16:57 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? | BUY | 0.0795303628 | $10.33 |
| 10-17 14:32 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? | BUY | 0.056 | $11.45 |
| 10-17 09:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0569352527 | $19.06 |
| 10-17 08:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.46 | $69.00 |
| 10-15 20:55 | Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $33.80 |
| 10-15 17:57 | Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 10-15 17:56 | Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.80 |
| 10-15 10:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $56.00 |
| 10-15 09:56 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $34.75 |
| 10-15 09:55 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.14 | $47.40 |
| 10-15 05:05 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.29 | $82.72 |