0xd26ddaa5fa66fa5f534c0c3c8e215e0b51ed5885
- Realised P&L
- $8.74
- Volume
- $298.03
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $14.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?
- +$3.88at 0.340US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.82at 0.351Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 15:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:08 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:02 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:01 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 13:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 14:00 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 04:18 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 10:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 02:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:14 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 10:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |