0xd26d1794192204aa99b690758592adb7992b82d5
0xd26d1794192204aa99b690758592adb7992b82d5
- Realised P&L
- $-77.01
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.019 | $1.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.06at 0.098Will FC Bayern Munich Legends win on 2026-08-15?
- +$18.66at 0.213Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?
- +$10.88at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
- +$10.24at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$9.22at 0.141Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 06:49 | Will India win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 06:46 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.02970297 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 18:46 | Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.0347374579 | $3.80 |
| 09-28 18:42 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.0188211986 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 18:41 | Belgium vs. France: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 11:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999656 | $4.00 |
| 08-31 11:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 10:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |