yourmum-838
0xd26bc3a8a4597b657b0b150e2e27da6f77ff286c
- Realised P&L
- $-155.26
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $39.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.110 | $39.38 | −$68.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.38at 0.290Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
- +$17.60at 0.012Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$13.00at 0.013Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$6.51at 0.900Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.49at 0.457Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-19 21:28 | Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.3002558683 | $107.49 |
| 04-19 21:27 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.958 | $107.49 |
| 09-25 21:21 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.98 |
| 09-18 08:33 | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.1475805433 | $23.36 |
| 03-08 21:34 | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.6887366061 | $109.03 |
| 12-06 22:44 | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BUY | 0.997 | $108.69 |
| 11-25 19:12 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November? | BUY | 0.42 | $110.77 |
| 11-25 19:11 | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | SELL | 0.991 | $110.77 |
| 10-09 19:10 | Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024? | BUY | 0.9839999987 | $110.00 |
| 10-06 22:55 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.507 | $65.81 |
| 10-06 22:55 | Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.90 |
| 10-06 22:55 | Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:55 | Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.09 |
| 10-06 22:54 | Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.93 |
| 10-06 22:54 | Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.00 |