0xd26A60331B158e0cF228e45A6AfB41E9A8e537A2-1770324459295
0xd26a60331b158e0cf228e45a6afb41e9a8e537a2
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $553.4k
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.47at 0.462UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$80.44at 0.206Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$47.88at 0.248Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
- +$35.54at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
- +$34.10at 0.236Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:04 | Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.0499044875 | $39.92 |
| 09-18 10:03 | Will CPRF win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections? | BUY | 0.0263664872 | $8.32 |
| 09-18 09:03 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1112119332 | $46.60 |
| 09-18 08:57 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.168 | $8.14 |
| 09-18 08:55 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.179 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 23:10 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.5851147688 | $143.26 |
| 09-03 07:37 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.10 |
| 09-03 07:37 | Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1155954738 | $12.26 |
| 08-29 12:11 | UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 11:31 | UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.9769999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 11:28 | UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 11:24 | UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 11:18 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 11:09 | Will Sumudaerji win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 09:39 | UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |