PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd26A60331B158e0cF228e45A6AfB41E9A8e537A2-1770324459295

0xd26a60331b158e0cf228e45a6afb41e9a8e537a2

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$553.4k
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4700.235$1.0k$1.0k
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0540.011$421.75$1.6k
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1280.217$255.07+$104.49
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.5850.820$200.77+$57.51
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1730.128$188.77$67.34
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2710.330$137.37+$24.60
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0980.018$69.60$298.73
Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0880.153$66.03+$28.09
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1110.145$60.76+$14.16
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.5800.430$56.51$19.71
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No0.4500.985$51.19+$27.79
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3090.325$25.48+$1.28
Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections? · No0.0500.023$18.40$21.52
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes0.1300.455$9.15+$6.53
Will CPRF win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.0260.021$6.79$1.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 10:04Will United Russia win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.0499044875$39.92
09-18 10:03Will CPRF win the next Omsk Oblast Parliament elections?BUY0.0263664872$8.32
09-18 09:03Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.1112119332$46.60
09-18 08:57Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.168$8.14
09-18 08:55Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.179$100.00
09-08 23:10Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.5851147688$143.26
09-03 07:37Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$2.10
09-03 07:37Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.1155954738$12.26
08-29 12:11UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-29 11:31UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.9769999993$10.00
08-29 11:28UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.08$3.00
08-29 11:24UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.54$1.00
08-29 11:18Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-29 11:09Will Sumudaerji win by KO or TKO?BUY0.32$1.00
08-29 09:39UFC Fight Night: Namsrai Batbayar vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3099998295$1.00